Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Stinson

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.8 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
0.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Stinson
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Stinson Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Stinson Tactics

Veteran

"An experienced fighter with a strong striking game, but struggling with grappling and showing inconsistency."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore