+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Hepburn
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
81% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Hepburn
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Hepburn Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Hepburn Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Hepburn Tactics
Journeyman"TJ Hepburn is a limited grappler with decent takedown numbers, but his striking numbers are mediocre, and he may struggle against top-level opponents in the middleweight division."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
Hepburn vs
Gaethje vs