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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Awad

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.13 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
0.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Awad
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Awad Strike Defense
▲ Awad Takedown Defense
▲ Awad Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Awad Tactics

Veteran

"Saad Awad is a seasoned veteran with a strong defensive game, but his offense is limited by low striking accuracy and volume."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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