+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Story
Southpaw Wrestling
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.8 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
2.53 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Story
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Story Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Story Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Wrestling VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Story Tactics
Veteran"Rick Story is a well-established grappler with strong takedown skills and decent striking, but waning career momentum."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."