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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Orolbai

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.78 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
8.77 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
40% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Orolbai
50%
Gaethje
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Orolbai Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Orolbai Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Orolbai Tactics

Veteran

"Myktybek Orolbai is a grappling-heavy fighter with high takedown averages, but struggles with striking defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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