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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Semelsberger

Switch Balanced
VS

Covington

Orthodox Grappler
75" Reach 72"
3.77 Strikes Landed/Min 3.81
54% Strike Defense 54%
1.01 Takedowns/15Min 3.64
45% Takedown Defense 68%

Win Probability

Semelsberger
43%
Covington
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Semelsberger Reach Advantage
Takedown Defense Covington ▲
Grappling Output Covington ▲
Win Rate Covington ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Grappler

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Semelsberger Tactics

Contender

"Matthew Semelsberger is a well-rounded fighter with a solid record, showcasing his ability to compete at a high level in the 170lbs division."

Covington Tactics

Elite

"Colby Covington is a dominant grappler with a strong wrestling background and excellent takedown defense, making him a formidable opponent in the octagon."

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