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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Firmino

Orthodox MMA, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Shooto
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
3.86 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
20% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Firmino
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Firmino Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

MMA, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Shooto VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Firmino Tactics

Veteran

"A seasoned fighter with a strong striking background, Firmino has shown the ability to finish fights with his hands, but has also struggled with consistency and decision-making."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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