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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Shahbazyan

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
6.33 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
32% Strike Defense 51%
1.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Shahbazyan
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Shahbazyan Reach Advantage
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Shahbazyan Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Shahbazyan Tactics

Prospect

"Leon Shahbazyan is an aggressive striker with a high volume and accuracy, but his grappling skills are lacking and may leave him exposed."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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