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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Saika

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.67
51% Strike Defense 43%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min N/A
74% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Gaethje
51%
Saika
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Saika ▲
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Saika Tactics

Prospect

"Tatsuya Saika is a developing striker with a penchant for aggressive offense, but struggles with defensive striking and takedown defense."

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