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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Bogatov

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.33
51% Strike Defense 44%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1
74% Takedown Defense 50%

Win Probability

Gaethje
52%
Bogatov
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Bogatov ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Bogatov ▲
Win Rate Bogatov ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Bogatov Tactics

Veteran

"Roman Bogatov is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking offense, but his grappling defense is a concern."

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