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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Aliev

Orthodox Grappler
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.72
51% Strike Defense 58%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2.12
74% Takedown Defense 80%

Win Probability

Gaethje
49%
Aliev
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Aliev ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Strike Defense Aliev ▲
Grappling Output Aliev ▲
Win Rate Aliev ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Grappler

"Striker vs Grappler — Classic MMA clash. If the fight stays standing, the striker holds the edge. Takedown defense will be decisive."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Aliev Tactics

Prospect

"Nurullo Aliev is an undefeated prospect with a strong grappling background, using his wrestling skills to dominate opponents, and showing potential to become a top contender in the future."

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