+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Kotani
Southpaw Judo, Shootboxing
70" Reach 66"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 1.02
51% Strike Defense 50%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.83
74% Takedown Defense 46%
Win Probability
Gaethje
58%
Kotani
42%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Gaethje Reach Advantage —
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume —
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense —
— Grappling Output Kotani ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Judo, Shootboxing
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Kotani Tactics
Veteran"Naoyuki Kotani is a seasoned veteran with a well-rounded skillset, but his striking and grappling skills are not particularly impressive."