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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Baghdad

Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai
70" Reach N/A
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.13
51% Strike Defense 46%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min N/A
74% Takedown Defense 33%

Win Probability

Gaethje
57%
Baghdad
43%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Baghdad Tactics

Journeyman

"Mehdi Baghdad is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but his lack of striking and grappling statistics makes it difficult to determine his primary style."

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