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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Nurmagomedov

Orthodox Combat Sambo
70" Reach 70"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.1
51% Strike Defense 65%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 5.32
74% Takedown Defense 84%

Win Probability

Gaethje
44%
Nurmagomedov
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Strike Defense Nurmagomedov ▲
Grappling Output Nurmagomedov ▲
Win Rate Nurmagomedov ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Combat Sambo

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Nurmagomedov Tactics

Elite

"Khabib Nurmagomedov is an elite-level grappler with impressive metrics, making him a dominant force in the Octagon."

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