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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Tokudome

Southpaw Boxing, Judo, Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.26
51% Strike Defense 53%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2
74% Takedown Defense 78%

Win Probability

Gaethje
54%
Tokudome
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Tokudome ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Grappling Output Tokudome ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Boxing, Judo, Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Tokudome Tactics

Veteran

"Experienced grappler with high takedown averages, but struggling with accuracy and submission attempts, suggesting a need for improvement in striking."

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