+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Sakurai
Orthodox Shootfighting, Wrestling, Muay Thai, Judo, Karate
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.45 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.87 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
56% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Sakurai
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Sakurai Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Sakurai Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Shootfighting, Wrestling, Muay Thai, Judo, Karate VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Sakurai Tactics
Veteran"Hayato Sakurai is a seasoned grappler with a strong ground game and decent striking defense, but his striking offense is limited and he often relies on takedowns to control fights."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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