+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
MacFarlane
N/A Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.33 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
1.05 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
MacFarlane
42%
Gaethje
58%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ MacFarlane Grappling Output —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
MacFarlane Tactics
Journeyman"Clayton MacFarlane is a decent striker with a solid record, but his grappling numbers are a concern, suggesting he may struggle against top-level grapplers."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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