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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Nurmagomedov

Orthodox Sambo
VS

Carneiro

Orthodox Grappler
72" Reach 76"
2.78 Strikes Landed/Min 1.46
65% Strike Defense 62%
1.25 Takedowns/15Min 3.05
88% Takedown Defense 83%

Win Probability

Nurmagomedov
52%
Carneiro
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Carneiro ▲
▲ Nurmagomedov Striking Volume
Grappling Output Carneiro ▲
▲ Nurmagomedov Win Rate

Style Matchup

Sambo VS Grappler

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Nurmagomedov Tactics

Veteran

"Abubakar Nurmagomedov is a veteran fighter with decent striking metrics, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him a more one-dimensional fighter."

Carneiro Tactics

Veteran

"Roan Carneiro is a skilled grappler with a strong background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, but his striking skills are limited, making him a one-dimensional fighter."

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